The outcome of Iran’s presidential election will have profound implications for both Tehran and the wider region. The incumbent, President Hassan Rouhani, is a moderate who has pursued a policy of engagement with the West. His main challenger, Ebrahim Raisi, is a hardliner who has called for a more confrontational approach. The election is therefore seen as a referendum on Iran’s future direction.
Implications for Tehran
If Rouhani wins, he will likely continue his policy of engagement with the West. This could lead to further progress on the nuclear deal, as well as improved relations with the United States and Europe. However, it could also lead to increased pressure from hardliners within Iran, who believe that Rouhani is too willing to compromise with the West.
If Raisi wins, he will likely pursue a more confrontational approach to foreign policy. This could lead to increased tensions with the United States and Europe, as well as renewed nuclear ambitions. It could also lead to a crackdown on dissent within Iran.
Implications for the Region
The outcome of Iran’s presidential election will also have significant implications for the wider region. Rouhani’s victory would likely lead to a more stable and cooperative Iran, which would be welcomed by its neighbors. Raisi’s victory, on the other hand, could lead to increased instability and conflict in the region.
In particular, Raisi’s victory could have a negative impact on relations between Iran and Saudi Arabia. The two countries are already rivals for regional dominance, and Raisi’s hardline stance could further escalate tensions.
The outcome of Iran’s presidential election will also have a major impact on the fight against ISIS. Rouhani has been a key player in the anti-ISIS coalition, and his victory would likely lead to continued Iranian support for the fight against the terrorist group. Raisi, on the other hand, has been more critical of the anti-ISIS coalition, and his victory could lead to a reduction in Iranian support for the fight against ISIS.
Conclusion
The outcome of Iran’s presidential election is one of the most important geopolitical events of the year. The results will have profound implications for both Tehran and the wider region. Rouhani’s victory would likely lead to a more stable and cooperative Iran, while Raisi’s victory could lead to increased instability and conflict.
Kind regards E. Thompson.
